Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.005343 0.005640 0.005947 0.006289 0.006661 0.007052 0.007497
2026-02-01 0.004927 0.005371 0.005852 0.006415 0.007060 0.007780 0.008649
2026-02-08 0.004587 0.005106 0.005686 0.006388 0.007222 0.008190 0.009413
2026-02-15 0.004344 0.004915 0.005569 0.006383 0.007380 0.008577 0.010148
2026-02-22 0.004101 0.004701 0.005402 0.006293 0.007412 0.008794 0.010670
2026-03-01 0.003899 0.004520 0.005257 0.006212 0.007439 0.008993 0.011168
2026-03-08 0.003759 0.004404 0.005181 0.006207 0.007553 0.009302 0.011823
2026-03-15 0.003551 0.004191 0.004974 0.006019 0.007413 0.009259 0.011982
2026-03-22 0.003456 0.004116 0.004932 0.006041 0.007547 0.009586 0.012682
2026-03-29 0.003391 0.004074 0.004930 0.006110 0.007746 0.010012 0.013553
2026-04-05 0.003279 0.003966 0.004836 0.006052 0.007761 0.010175 0.014037
2026-04-12 0.003195 0.003890 0.004781 0.006041 0.007840 0.010429 0.014678
2026-04-19 0.003099 0.003796 0.004699 0.005990 0.007861 0.010602 0.015210
2026-04-26 0.003071 0.003792 0.004737 0.006108 0.008132 0.011169 0.016439
2026-05-03 0.002994 0.003719 0.004676 0.006082 0.008188 0.011404 0.017124
2026-05-10 0.002929 0.003659 0.004633 0.006078 0.008273 0.011688 0.017919
2026-05-17 0.002842 0.003566 0.004538 0.005994 0.008230 0.011761 0.018338
2026-05-24 0.002762 0.003480 0.004452 0.005918 0.008197 0.011845 0.018781
2026-05-31 0.002709 0.003431 0.004414 0.005914 0.008273 0.012116 0.019600
2026-06-07 0.002605 0.003307 0.004267 0.005738 0.008068 0.011895 0.019441
2026-06-14 0.002566 0.003274 0.004249 0.005758 0.008178 0.012223 0.020405
2026-06-21 0.002544 0.003262 0.004261 0.005823 0.008365 0.012697 0.021716
2026-06-28 0.002486 0.003200 0.004197 0.005769 0.008350 0.012807 0.022272